Favorites general classification Tour de France 2025 | Yellow jersey likely headed back to familiar shoulders
CyclingMonday, 23 June 2025 at 15:23
It's almost that time of year again: the Tour de France! Three weeks of racing on French roads, with one big goal: the yellow jersey. Who are the top contenders for this jersey in the 2025 Tour de France? IDLProCycling.com lists them all!
Also check out/coming soon on IDLProCycling.com:
- Preview Tour de France 2025
- Favorites points classification (green jersey)
- Favorites mountain classification (polka dot jersey)
- Favorites youth classification (white jersey)
- Betting pool tips for the Tour de France
- Preview Tour de France 2025
- Favorites points classification (green jersey)
- Favorites mountain classification (polka dot jersey)
- Favorites youth classification (white jersey)
- Betting pool tips for the Tour de France
Latest winners general classification Tour de France
2024 Tadej Pogacar
2023 Jonas Vingegaard
2022 Jonas Vingegaard
2021 Tadej Pogacar
2020 Tadej Pogacar
2019 Egan Bernal
2018 Geraint Thomas
2017 Chris Froome
2016 Chris Froome
2015 Chris Froome
2023 Jonas Vingegaard
2022 Jonas Vingegaard
2021 Tadej Pogacar
2020 Tadej Pogacar
2019 Egan Bernal
2018 Geraint Thomas
2017 Chris Froome
2016 Chris Froome
2015 Chris Froome
Favorites general classification Tour de France 2025
To compile this list, (former) editors at IDLProCycling.com were asked for their top ten in response to the question: "Who is most likely to win the Giro d'Italia?" Each top ten was assigned points: 12 points for first place, 10 for second place, and then 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, and 1 point, respectively. The total points received for each rider were converted into a percentage of the maximum points possible. This percentage is indicated next to each rider. This helps give a clearer view of how the odds stack up according to IDLProCycling.com!
10. Simon Yates - Visma | Lease a Bike
Number ten on our list is the winner of the most recent Giro d'Italia: Simon Yates. The British rider took the pink jersey with a coup on the Finestre, making his first six months with Visma | Lease a Bike immediately successful. In July, however, he will take on the role his brother Adam has with UAE Emirates-XRG: super-domestique or outsider.
Yates can be used to put pressure on the other teams and thus achieve a high ranking. He finished fourth in the Tour two years ago, behind Vingegaard, Pogacar, and his brother Adam.
9. Carlos Rodriguez - INEOS Grenadiers
INEOS Grenadiers will start the Tour de France without an absolute top favorite for the GC. Spaniard Carlos Rodriguez is the leader of the British team. In 2023, he rode an excellent first Tour, finishing fifth overall at 22 and winning a stage.
Last season, the climber finished in seventh place, and Rodriguez seems to be returning to shape in time for 2025. He had a rough start to the year due to a broken collarbone in the UAE Tour but has since finished sixth in the Tour de Romandie and ninth in the Critérium du Dauphiné.
8. Enric Mas - Movistar
Enric Mas, the Spanish Movistar team's leader for many years, is in eighth place. However, the man from Mallorca has not had a good season in the Tour in recent years. In both 2022 and 2023, Mas had to leave the race early, while last year, he was never in contention for a good classification and eventually finished nineteenth.
As consistent as he is in the Vuelta, he has yet to find the same form in the Tour. Nevertheless, Mas is having another good year, with podium places in the Tour of the Basque Country and the Tour of Catalonia and, more recently, seventh place in the Dauphiné.
7. Primoz Roglic - Red Bull-BORA-hansrohe
Speaking about bad marriages with the Tour de France, Primoz Roglic knows a thing or two about it. The Slovenian from Red Bull-BORA-hansgrohe lost the yellow jersey to his compatriot Tadej Pogacar in 2020 and has not come close to the holy grail of cycling since: the yellow jersey.
In his last three participations, Roglic failed to finish, as was the case in the most recent Giro d'Italia. So it's a bit of a guessing game as to where he stands now, although he will always retain his status as a top rider.
6. Matteo Jorgenson - Visma | Lease a Bike
The second rider from Visma | Lease a Bike on this list is Matteo Jorgenson, who, together with Sepp Kuss, represents the United States in the Dutch team's Tour squad. Jorgenson finished eighth in last year's Tour de France and, in his own words, has been able to step it up a notch, which earned him his second consecutive overall victory in Paris-Nice.
With his experience in the classics, Jorgenson is also well suited for the first week and a half in northern France, where a lot of chaos is expected. Still, on paper, he is just a step below Jonas Vingegaard.
5. Florian Lipowitz - Red Bull-BORA-hansgrohe
At Red Bull-BORA-hansgrohe, it's not just Primoz Roglic who is worth mentioning, but Florian Lipowitz as well. The former biathlete is rapidly climbing the ranks of his team, where he broke through last year in the Tour de Romandie. At the end of the season, Lipo finished in the top ten of the Vuelta.
This year, the 24-year-old German has already finished second in Paris-Nice, fourth in the Basque Country, and, most recently, an impressive third in the Dauphiné. In all these races, he has also shown that he is not afraid to race and take matters into his own hands, making him a serious contender for the podium.
4. Joao Almeida - UAE Emirates-XRG
João Almeida is enjoying an almost equally impressive season in the shadow of Tadej Pogacar. The Portuguese rider from UAE Emirates-XRG won his last three races, the Tours of the Basque Country, Romandy, and Switzerland, and is now preparing for his second Tour de France, once again in the service of Pogacar.
Last season, Almeida finished fourth, 19 minutes behind his leader. In 2025, he will look to step up to the podium if that is possible in accordance with Pogacar's ambitions.
3. Remco Evenepoel - Soudal Quick-Step
Third place on this list goes to the man who finished third in last year's Tour de France: Belgian hope Remco Evenepoel. After his serious crash in the winter, Evenepoel has been racing for two months now, making a particularly strong impression during his time trials in the Tour de Romandie and Dauphiné.
He has not yet been able to compete with Pogacar and Vingegaard on the climbs, although it should be noted that he also made good progress between the Dauphiné and the Tour last year. However, it is unfortunate that he will not have Mikel Landa, who finished fifth last season, at his side this year.
2. Jonas Vingegaard - Visma | Lease a Bike
Jonas Vingegaard will once again represent Visma | Lease a Bike in this year's Tour de France. The Danish rider, who rides for the Dutch team, has been a constant factor in the race for many years. He rode it for the first time in 2021 to replace Tom Dumoulin. He finished second that year before winning the race a year later.
He won the Tour again in 2023 but lost to his rival Pogacar last year. Visma | Lease a Bike is now back in the game, and you can bet that they plan to make things as difficult as possible for the Slovenian powerhouse.
1. Tadej Pogcar - UAE Emirates-XRG
Everyone agrees: Tadej Pogacar is once again the top favorite in this season's Tour de France. He now has three wins to his name since he first competed in 2020, and the comet from Komenda is eager to add a fourth.
The Critérium du Dauphiné was a convincing warm-up for Pogacar, who will be joined by Adam Yates and Almeida as his main domestiques in the mountains.
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Latest Comments
- Maybe I was a bit disrespectful to Heiden. What he did was unique and exceptional but he wasn't the only one who combined those distances, nowadays it is just not possible and nobody competes in both distances. The same is true for cycling with for example the combination of Roubaix and de Tour de France. In Merckx era there were more riders who managed a top10 in both races than currently.Joostmehrtens19-06-2025
- Two old men shouting at pigeons in the park…JonS16-06-2025
- Out of touch old men hankering after their youth through rose tinted spectacles, their arrogance almost outshines their irrelevance. Turn the volume down, this modern stuff just isn't music like we used to sing...johnny20whales16-06-2025
- In talking speed skating, the days when Heiden did that, nobody else did that. And Eddy couldn't do the equivalent of the bike. His 200 on the velodrome was good, but not world competitive for gold. Heiden was in his own world on the ice, moreso than Eddy if we pretend Eric didn't have a very short career on the ice.Veganpotter16-06-2025
- They wouldn't have dropped HIM so easily.... the GOAT. They would have dropped the rest from that era easily thoughVeganpotter16-06-2025
- Merckx was able to win in a break away on a flat (sprinters) stage, what do you mean they did not drop that easily in his time. Vlaeminck won in the mountains and the classics, but now you need to specialise. The days that a Eric Heiden could win the sprint and the 10k and everything in between are long gone and cycljng is no differentJoostmehrtens16-06-2025
- Carsapaz and Del torro were not capable of chasing Yates. They paused and looked at each other because they didn't have it in them. Yates had kept his powder dry waiting for this stage and demolished both of them. They lost Yates won. Your second guessing is utter nonsense., if either felt they could close Yates down they would have , just like they did countless times for other riders. They blew up , Yates excelled.Uphillbilly05-06-2025
- Carapaz is full of it. He is absolutely irrelevant after a rant at del Toro. Isaac had no obligations to do anything for Carapaz. It should remind one of the saying that goes lke this: "If I jump off the bridge, are you going to jump too?" If Caapaz wanted to win the Giro he should have chased Yates with or without Isaac. And if del Toro could follow, then so be it. But it was Carapaz's choice to slow down and stare at Isaac. Isaac was on the radio at times and you can bet he was being told by the Team car to do just what he was doing. Did I like that he didn't set out after Yates himself, NO. But the 21 year old was probably being instructed to do what he did, otherwise you can bet we would have heard from UAE mgmt. that Isaac chose to ignore their orders. But what we did hear was they were happy with his result. Which I think was a terrible betrayal of their young rider, who I think was capable of more than that penultimate stage showed. The Giro finished on a truly sour note as far as I'm concerned, because it was not "raced" The most crucial stage of the whole 21 stage race was simply given away, playing games with the unwritten rules of bicycle racing. "Leaders jerseys responsibility" and all that nonsense. Just RACE! It was disgraceful.
reemmo004-06-2025 - Well this aged like fine milkGlyn31-05-2025
- This is just mean-spirited.agnessk29-05-2025