We've been waiting for it — and on Friday the first true GC test of the
Giro d'Italia is finally here. After 232 kilometres in the saddle, the riders must still tackle the 14-kilometre Blockhaus climb — making this both a very long and a very demanding day. IDL Pro Cycling breaks down the route, the scenarios and the favourites.
Stage 7 route: Giro d'Italia 2026
Friday 15 May: the first uphill finish of this Corsa Rosa — and not just any stage, and not just any climb. After a substantial 246 kilometres in total, the finish of stage seven lands atop the fearsome Blockhaus, which after six hours of racing will feel considerably harder than it would after three. The last time the Giro visited this climb was in 2017 and 2022.
Before the final ascent, the peloton has 232 kilometres to cover. From the start town of Formia, the road climbs immediately for the first five kilometres, before heading into the Italian interior on largely flat roads. After just over a hundred kilometres, a more serious hill arrives, followed by the intermediate sprint at kilometre 113.
Then the real business begins. At 133 kilometres, the riders encounter an uncategorised 9.5-kilometre climb at five percent. After a short descent, a second-category ascent follows: Roccaraso (6.9km at 6.4%), with gradients peaking at ten percent around the midpoint.
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The top of Roccaraso doesn't immediately give way to a descent. A plateau leads into a short drop, then another short uphill section, before the long 20-kilometre descent towards the foot of Blockhaus. At the bottom sits the Red Bull bonus sprint, where time bonuses are there for the taking.
And then the climb itself, rising to a maximum altitude of 1,655 metres. From the foot, it is 13.5 kilometres to the summit, averaging 8.5%. The opening kilometres are relatively manageable, but from kilometre three the gradient regularly exceeds ten percent. The maximum pitch on this finale? Fourteen percent.
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Climbs167 km: Roccaraso (6.9 km at 6.5 percent)
245 km: Blockhaus (13.6 km at 8.4 percent)
Times
Start: 10:55 a.m.
Finish: around 4:45 p.m.
Stage 7 weather: Giro d'Italia 2026
The peloton has endured a wet opening week, and rain is again threatening at the stage start. Wind is moderate, with temperatures just below 20°C. Similar conditions are expected mid-stage — heavy cloud cover with occasional light showers — though there is a real chance the stage stays largely dry.
What about conditions atop Blockhaus? Much better. Temperatures will drop — naturally — to around 12°C, but precipitation during the racing hours should be limited. There is a chance of showers later in the evening, but racers should be largely unaffected. Wind at the summit is forecast at a manageable Beaufort force 3.
Stage 7 favourites: Giro d'Italia 2026
A pure climber will almost certainly win this stage. The question is: does that specialist come from an early breakaway, or do the GC contenders race for the stage win themselves? With the
pink jersey sitting firmly on the shoulders of Afonso Eulalio of Bahrain Victorious, the GC teams have no need to be afraid of the breakaway taking the stage — and no obligation to control the race to protect a leader in pink.
A battle between the best climbers in the race is therefore very much on the cards. And there is one clear favourite:
Jonas Vingegaard. The undisputed team leader at
Visma | Lease a Bike has the best chance of reaching Rome in pink, but will also want to win stages along the way. And where better to add gloss to his Giro than by winning on Blockhaus in week one?
This is precisely the kind of stage that suits him. Over 246 kilometres, total energy expenditure becomes a critical factor — this is what Sepp Kuss was getting at before stage five when he observed that "a climb after five hours is different from after three hours." On these long, bruising days, Vingegaard typically has more left in the tank than his rivals at the finish.
The main challenger at this Giro — and on this stage — is
Giulio Pellizzari. The Italian at Red Bull-BORA-hansgrohe has come through the opening week in good shape and has this climb circled as his chance to show he can genuinely trouble Vingegaard. But Red Bull have more than one card to play. Consider
Jai Hindley, who — in 2022, the year he won the Giro overall — already has a Blockhaus stage victory on his record.
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Hindley already managed to win once at Blockhaus, ahead of Bardet, Carapaz, Landa and Almeida.
From a Dutch perspective, all eyes are on Thymen Arensman. The Netcompany INEOS rider has lost no time in this Giro and comes into his own on long climbs exactly like this one. Egan Bernal is his co-leader, though the question remains whether the Colombian is fully back to his best after his stage four off-day.
A strong outsider could be Arensman's compatriot: Wout Poels (Unibet Rose Rockets). The veteran Limburger is targeting a stage win at this Giro to complete his Grand Tour hat-trick, and could go all-in on Blockhaus if he makes the early break. The same applies to Belgian talent Lennert Van Eetvelt (Lotto-Intermarché), who has already made his mark on several stages this race.
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Wout Poels: does he stand a chance?
Stage hunters will also be eyeing their chances — though the general expectation is that this long, arduous day will ultimately come down to the GC men. If the attackers do get a chance, names like Christian Scaroni (XDS Astana), Filippo Zana, Gianmarco Garofoli (Soudal Quick-Step), Jhonatan Narváez (UAE Team Emirates-XRG) and Alessandro Pinarello (NSN) are all in the picture.
From the GC group, expect Felix Gall (Decathlon CMA CGM), Enric Mas (Movistar), Ben O'Connor (Jayco AlUla), Mathys Rondel and Michael Storer (Tudor) to be present. Derek Gee-West and hometown hero Giulio Ciccone — who lost the pink jersey on Wednesday — will both have this stage underlined in red in Lidl-Trek's race plan.
IDL Pro Cycling's stage 7 picks
Top favorites: Jonas Vingegaard (Visma | Lease a Bike) and Giulio Pellizzari (Red Bull-BORA-hansgrohe)
Outsiders: Thymen Arensman (Netcompany INEOS), Jai Hindley (Red Bull-BORA-hansgrohe), Giulio Ciccone (Lidl-Trek) and Felix Gall (Decathlon CMA CGM)
Long shots: Egan Bernal (Netcompany INEOS), Enric Mas (Movistar), Wout Poels (Unibet Rose Rockets), Ben O'Connor (Jayco AlUla), Lennert Van Eetvelt (Lotto Intermarché), Michael Storer (Tudor), Jhonatan Narvaez (UAE Emirates-XRG) and Filippo Zana (Soudal Quick-Step)